Compared with a month ago, the Covid-19 positive rate in New York State has doubled because health experts over the weekend expressed concern about the new increase in infections.
The state reported 661 more cases on Saturday, as the 7-day average positive rate reached 0.79%, almost twice the historical low of 0.4% set last month.
Wafaa El-Sadr, an epidemiologist at the Mailman School of Public Health in Columbia, told the Financial Times: “This motivation is rising due to the increase in the number of infections that may occur in unvaccinated individuals.” “The vaccination rate is higher. The positive rate is higher in low communities.”
The positive rate in New York City and the densely populated Long Island has exceeded 1%. However, the number of hospitalizations almost halved during the same period.
El-Sadr said that given the spread of new variants, this rate is likely to continue, “especially those more contagious variants, if there is no further vaccination, and there are fewer restrictions in limiting the size of aggregation and mitigating cover “.
Some health authorities downplayed the rate of rise. New York City Health Commissioner Dave Chokshi said last week that motivation is no longer a key indicator.
But other medical experts disagree. El-Sadr said: “This is important because it tells us where transmission is occurring, where more testing services are needed, and where more efforts are needed to continue to increase vaccination rates.”
She added: “With more vaccinations, the number of infections will decrease, the number of serious diseases requiring hospitalization will also be reduced, and the number of deaths of Covid-19 patients will also decrease.”
According to research by Johns Hopkins University, areas with low vaccination rates in the United States should be prepared for a surge in infections. Local hot spots are emerging, especially in the south, midwest and west.
In the past two weeks, Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Kentucky, Mississippi, Missouri, Nebraska, Nevada, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Texas, Wisconsin and House prices in Wyoming are rising.
Jennifer Nuzzo, a senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins University Health Safety Center, said: “I think we should be prepared to see an increase in cases, especially among the unvaccinated people.”