So far, during his presidency, Joe Biden It has been possible to tout the launch of the COVID-19 vaccine as a beacon of early success.
The Democratic president’s initial goal was to inject 100 million doses during his first 100 days in office. He raised this number to 200 million-and reached this goal on his 92nd day in the White House.
After that, the conversation turned to a benchmark 70% of the U.S. adult population Get at least one dose of vaccine before July 4th-this goal has been missed. According to data from the Centers for Disease Control, 67% of adults nationwide have received at least one dose.
The White House previously admitted that it may miss 70% of the opportunity, the press secretary Jan Psaki Tell the reporter: “Well, we don’t think it’s exactly like something went wrong. How do we look at it: We set a bold and ambitious goal — the president did this from the beginning — and we expect to achieve it This goal is just a few weeks after July 4.”
However, although the White House hopes to downplay this mistake, the fact that the goal has not been reached still exists.
Mark Shanahan, dean of the Department of Politics and International Relations at the University of Reading and co-editor of the book, said: “There is a political adage that under-promise and too much promise is better than the opposite. Trump’s presidency: from the campaign to the world stage, Tell Weekly newspaper.
“Joe Biden seems to have forgotten this for now, instead focusing on the sound of the date, not the authenticity of the data.”
There are several factors that hinder the path to the milestone, including regional differences in the launch of different states and some people’s ideological distrust of vaccines-Driven by the rampant online anti-vaccine movement.
Despite this mistake, the broader context of the good news surrounding the pandemic means that Biden may escape any major criticism.
“As long as the direction of travel is positive, and the Americans see signs of economic opening and improvement, I don’t think he will be too bad for him if he fails to achieve the 70% goal in the short term,” Shanahan said.
“It is expected that in the next two weeks, the White House will strongly emphasize the success of the vaccination program.”
However, although this oversold and under-delivery situation may not cause political losses, it is a warning to Biden and his administration.
Isolated instances under special circumstances may not be punished. But making this mistake again may be seen as a model that will be criticized by critics when it matures, or it may negatively change the public’s view of the government.
Julie Norman, a lecturer in politics and international relations at University College London, said: “We can expect the government to be more cautious in setting hard deadlines in the future.” Weekly newspaper.
“Missing a vaccine target is a warning target. If it is too directly related to a specific date that may be beyond government control, even a well-executed plan may be criticized.”
Thomas Gift, the founding director of the Center for American Politics at University College London, also told us Weekly newspaper “Overcommitment and under-delivery are never the secrets of success.”
“So even though Biden might escape widespread criticism in this situation, he doesn’t want it to become a habit – otherwise, voters will begin to portray a (less flattering) government image,” Giff said.
“This is the question of setting ambitious goals. There is always the possibility that it will not be achieved.”
How Biden responded to his failure to reach the 70% target, and his subsequent actions to promote vaccination will lead people to explain this failure. Shanahan of the University of Reading said that this is a “target preferred by the media, not useful to clinicians”.
“According to current forecasts, by Independence Day, 70% of the population in most parts of the United States will receive at least one jab, although the overall number in the United States may be one or two percentage points less,” Shanahan said.
“What it may do now is to change the focus of the conversation, which is actually the focus of vaccine launches to target backward areas where slow national action and individual vaccine hesitation means that far less than 70% of the population is vaccinated. .
“In his month-long operation, the president should focus on what the federal government can do to help backward states-such as Wyoming, Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana-to speed up the rollout of vaccines and target The reluctant community gets their jab.”
Norman of University College London also said that Biden’s subsequent response will ultimately shape public perception, and success in other areas may also ease any problems related to vaccination.
She said: “The challenge for the government is to actively promote Biden’s overall treatment of the pandemic, especially the introduction of vaccines, while also emphasizing the public health necessity of emphasizing the continued threat of the virus. And encouraging Americans to take it seriously. .
“Biden will be criticized, regardless of whether those looking for mistakes have missed the goal. The persistence of such criticism will largely depend on whether the government can continue to tell a broader success story in pandemic management and recovery.
“For Biden, July will also be a critical moment to ensure success on other key agenda items such as the Infrastructure Act. If progress is also stagnant, the negative story will be more lasting than in other cases, and infrastructure issues Success will help dilute missed vaccine targets.”
Norman also pointed out that although a missed 70% would deprive Biden of a “victory lap,” his criticism “may be downplayed because the failure is mainly driven by demand rather than supply.”
“The vaccination rate is high not because many Americans refuse to get the vaccine, not because they cannot get the vaccine,” she said.
“Therefore, it is not clear how many Republican politicians would want to stand up and criticize Biden for failing to reach his vaccine goal because their own right-leaning voters are the least willing to be vaccinated.”
Nonetheless, Gift said that Biden and his team may have room to reassess the problem of vaccine hesitation.
“At the same time, I do think it is reasonable that Biden’s team self-reflection has done a good job (and badly) in resolving vaccine hesitation,” Gift said.
“A more concerted effort to persuade and meet Republican voters, rather than simply criticizing or dismissing their choices (because some people in the left-wing circles may have committed crimes), may be the most effective way to alleviate concerns and support for vaccines. Vaccination rate.”
Although the president may not thank his predecessor-the Republicans accuse Biden of not giving the former president Donald Trump Vaccines have enough credit-Trump’s record in office can effectively prevent backlash against his unreached goals.
“If Biden consistently fails to match the message with the delivery on its agenda, Republicans will undoubtedly catch his’failure’ quickly. Currently, this is almost what they have. But they must also be careful,” Shanahan Say.
“Trump, the snake oil salesman and the chief barker did not classify the infrastructure and did not provide a better Republican healthcare plan for the United States. He did not build the wall or lock her up.
“By opening the door to any disconnect between Biden’s promises and the reality of what he is doing, the Republican Party has allowed itself to be open to some rather brutal counterattacks that underdelivered while in power.”
This is not just the anger of the Republican Party. Biden must also be cautious of criticism from his party. Progressives will put pressure on him to raise the federal minimum wage to US$15 and other goals, as well as pledges on climate change.
In addition, as the debate on his infrastructure plan continues, he is facing pressure from progressives, asking him not to compromise too much on the agreement with the Republican Party—both political parties have raised questions about his desire for bipartisan cooperation. The problem.
Shanahan said: “He is commendable now, and his start was more radical than most commentators expected.”
“But the progressives of the Democratic Party will persevere. Biden’s mid-season is coming, and he must strike a balance between their demands for a sustained aggressive agenda and his natural centrist instincts.
“His road to success is actually quite narrow, with stones from the Republican Party and himself everywhere. The honeymoon period is over; now we will see if he is capable of doing more than just hosting.”
Weekly newspaper The White House has been contacted for comment on vaccine targets.