Top Republicans warn that the Fed may “lag behind the curve” in terms of inflation


After having breakfast with Jay Powell this week, Pat Toomey sat in his office in Washington and gave mixed reviews of the Fed chairman.

“Look, he is a very capable person,” the 59-year-old Republican senator from Pennsylvania said in an interview with the Financial Times. “He and I have major disagreements on the scope and duration of the stay. But I personally respect him very much.”

Toomey has become a major critic of Congress’s huge fiscal response to the Biden administration and the Federal Reserve’s ultra-loose monetary policy, ignoring the “bigger” mantra prevailing in Washington.

If US President Joe Biden decides to extend the term of chairman of the Federal Reserve, Toumi declined to say whether he will support Powell’s re-election from next year. But he bluntly pointed out what he believes the Fed has made mistakes.

Toomey said that the central bank faces the danger of inflation “behind the curve”, while the Fed insists that the current surge in consumer prices will be temporary, “you need to wait to see if it will disappear.” “All this will only increase the risk that they will eventually have to take tougher action.”

However, after Fed officials hinted that they expected to raise interest rates, Toumi felt that a hawkish shift might already be underway Start in 2023, And initiated a debate on reducing or “shrinking” central bank asset purchases.

“The reality is that the production cut is about to begin. If it doesn’t start early next year, or even earlier, I will be shocked. I think the market has expectations for this, and the market can absorb this,” he added.

Toomey has served in the U.S. Senate since 2011. He previously led the conservative anti-tax organization “Growth Club” and served in the House of Representatives.

He is in the interview caveat Republicans say that if they choose the main candidate unanimous with former President Donald Trump, they risk losing the opportunity to win congressional control in the 2022 midterm elections.

But he believes that even though the economy is recovering, national opinion polls show that many of Biden’s measures, including stimulus checks, are still popular, otherwise his party should have strong reasons to oppose the Democratic Party next year.

“Every stop I’ve been in Pennsylvania. I heard people a little worried,’How can we spend money at this rate-like someone in Washington thinks this is monopoly money, but it’s not the case,” he said.

Before entering politics, Toumi was a derivatives trader. He is now the top Republican on the Senate Banking Committee and a member of the Senate Finance Committee. The two groups jointly oversee the Federal Reserve, the Treasury, the Securities and Exchange Commission, and the Office of the United States Trade Representative, and play a major role in formulating tax, spending, and financial legislation.

Toumi speaks on the eve of Biden transaction Together with a group of centrist senators from both parties, an additional $1 trillion in federal funds will be invested in infrastructure spending over the next eight years.

Toumi said that he expects the agreement to pass, but is still uncertain about the details. He is satisfied that it does not include tax increases and is limited to physical infrastructure, which are two key requirements of the Republican Party.

But he said that it is not yet clear whether the fees were paid in a credible manner. Funding mechanisms include better tax enforcement, unused stimulus funds, and sales of mobile phone spectrum and strategic oil reserves.

After reaching an agreement on Thursday, he wrote on Twitter: “The framework is not legislation. The actual text is important. I look forward to more scrutiny of this in the coming weeks.”

One of Tumi’s biggest but unrealistic cross-party efforts was to reach a bipartisan agreement on gun reform. After the Sandy Hook massacre, he first worked with Democrat Joe Manchin and proposed to require background checks on all private gun sales in 2013. Today, he admits that the bill is “impossible” to become law.

He said: “I didn’t have much success in persuading my Republican colleagues to take action on this,” he added, adding that the recent turmoil and financial collapse of the National Rifle Association, the main lobbying group for gun owners, had little effect on me. Change the dynamics.

“If the National Rifle Association disappears tomorrow, there will be a replacement,” he said. “[It] It appears because many people feel very strongly about their Second Amendment rights. ”

In the Banking Committee, Toumi attacked what he called the “mission contagion” of the Federal Reserve and the US Securities and Exchange Commission on climate policy and other “ESG” goals.

He condemned the rise of “stakeholder capitalism” as the greatest pressure on the relationship between the Republican Party and business.

Toomey said: “It can be said that to some extent, companies will be involved in the culture war, which will cause tension.” “I think for many Republicans, this is a bigger incident than the entire Trump incident. problem.”

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